Another fantasy draft is over and everything went pretty well. Perhaps you drafted Jamaal Charles. Maybe you picked up Frank Gore in the 5th round. You have some solid young backup players and everything is going to be fine, right? Wrong. You drafted terribly and here is why.
In order to judge how well people drafted, we first need projections of how many points each player will score in the coming season. Since Commissioner Josh Gordon, in his infinite wisdom, decided to change to a non-standard scoring scheme we can’t use the most popular standard projections. Lucky for us, fantasyfootballanalytics.net, provides projections for non-standard scoring schemes (Link). They base their projections on an average of the data from ESPN, nfl.com ,CBS , Accuscore, FantasyPros and others. They provide a really cool analysis of the data from previous years that shows that the average of all these sources is much more reliable than any one particular source (Zelda).
Using these projections, I calculated the expected fantasy points yield for the entire season for the best players each team had to fill the 8 starting slots (QB,RB,WR,TE,FLEX,FLEX,K,DEF). The table below shows the projected points for each team.
Team name
|
Projected pts
|
Bench strength
|
Handegg Hooligans
|
1652
|
31 %
|
O Kaeptain! My Kaeptain!
|
1560
|
17 %
|
Party Like A Gronk Star
|
1548
|
27 %
|
Discount Doublechecks
|
1532
|
17 %
|
Trix of The Trade
|
1529
|
19 %
|
RG300 Thread Counts
|
1522
|
22 %
|
POONCON RED
|
1512
|
31 %
|
#Kai ThxBai
|
1511
|
33 %
|
You're Such A Jayhole
|
1507
|
36 %
|
Washington Mullets
|
1505
|
31 %
|
Commissioner Josh Gordon
|
1500
|
43 %
|
Beast a la Mode
|
1488
|
17 %
|
Dime Bag Swagger Gordons*
|
1477*
|
34 %
|
Dumpster Grill
|
1475
|
40 %
|
Legatron Prime
|
1469
|
21 %
|
Turn Down For Watt
|
1437
|
28 %
|
Full details of the points for the 8 best starters for each team can be found here in this clever google doc.
I also created a metric that attempts to measure bench strength. The metric calculates how many points you have in in ‘first replacements’ for all the major positions (QB, RB, WR, TE). Essentially, the metric rewards teams that have decent replacements for all the different positions. The points total of these replacements is then expressed as a percentage of the projected pts of your entire team. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best I could come up with last night at 2 am, drunk.
--Handegg Hooligans
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